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COVID: turning the crisis into an opportunity for agricultural policy

The Covid-19 emergency could offer an opportunity to rethink the framework and timing of programming

of European Funds in agriculture.

Premise

We are experiencing a time of great difficulty, primarily health-related, but also social, economic and

cultural.

In this first month of the crisis we had to deal directly with the health emergency and the

contribution we could make as a society was to “stay at home” to help avoid a

spread of the virus.

But our work, which is largely linked to the programming of the Structural Funds in Italy, has us

led to reflect on what the impacts of this pandemic associated with Covid-19 could be on

territories in which we are present and have operated alongside the Public Administrations for over 20 years.

Now these reflections push us to translate the discussions that have been going on for some time into an operational proposal

before this emergency, accompany the projects and evaluations we carry out, with reference to

particular to the agricultural sector, central to community policies due to its intrinsic weaknesses and

its strategic and economic importance.

For some time, in fact, together with public administrations, we have been studying and evaluating interventions aimed at

sector, particularly in disadvantaged areas, seeking solutions and new ways of action in order to

preserve agricultural activity as it produces primary goods and is necessary for protecting the territory.

The Covid emergency arrives in the start-up phase of the new seven-year programming period 2021/2027. To boot

new aid tools in a situation of crisis and uncertainty like the current one may not be there

optimal solution, while it is certainly simpler to intervene by appropriately modifying the

devices on which there is already experience, competence and, therefore, greater speed of action.

The idea of maintaining the current tools for a certain period in order to ensure continuity

in the disbursement of premiums and offer the possibility to agricultural companies to make investments in time

quickly and with known tools, could help alleviate economic and financial difficulties

that companies are and will be facing, but above all it could constitute the prerequisite

to rethink the perspective of “seven-year” programming in agriculture and make it more stable over time.

The proposal

IZI has been involved in the planning, management and evaluation of programs for over 25 years

communities that support agriculture, a sector that, in this period, is complicated to say the least

our economic and social life, is on the front line to guarantee all of us what we need

food supply and which, at the same time, has to face market uncertainties

determined by the sudden change in eating habits: from the closure of the Horeca sector, to which

a sharp contraction in sales of some especially high-quality products corresponds to the decision

of many supermarkets in Northern Italy to no longer offer over-the-counter products in compliance with distancing requirements

social, with the shift of sales towards portioned and packaged products for which companies

smaller sizes are not always equipped; from the slowdown in exports which concern in

especially Italian agri-food excellence, to the increase in demand for some products (e.g.

apples) and services (e.g. home deliveries) for which companies must equip themselves and prepare.

Added to all this is the uncertainty about when this emergency will end and what effects it will have on people

our habits, with the consequent difficulties in planning the restart, difficulties accentuated by the fact

that agriculture, by its nature, has relatively long reaction times because a salad (or wheat

for flour or an apricot…..) cannot be assembled, but must be sown, transplanted, cultivated and

gather.

The need to reorient production and work organization can only result in the urgency of

make investments, which are only possible in the presence of suitable instruments and income guarantees. To this

In this regard, the EU initiative which, through the European Bank for

Investments (EIB) has made €8,000 million available to support SMEs, including agricultural ones 1 .

However, Italian agriculture is reluctant and unaccustomed to using financial instruments

as in most cases the companies are family-run with methods of operating that are not

they follow those of large companies.

For this reason it would be appropriate today to extend the current programs co-financed by the EC through

ESIF 2 in order to accelerate the making available of public contributions through existing instruments

tested and fully active and, in the case of agriculture, seize the opportunity chance to rethink the logic of one

currently seven-year programming for interventions that in fact continue almost unchanged over time

between one period and another.

Covid-19 arrives in Europe in the very year in which the seven-year 2014/2020 programming period ends.

Overcoming the taboo of seven-year planning and continuing to use consolidated tools (i.e

the current Rural Development Programmes) would allow administrations to concentrate their own

activities on implementation, for beneficiaries to operate on known terrain, for policy makers to use

forms of governance that allow the control of the funds disbursed, continuing in the current way

consolidated and possibly, if necessary, increase the co-financing quota for some types of

projects or categories of beneficiaries.

This possibility seems to be even more important in the agricultural sector where one cannot limit oneself to

look only at investments, as operating contributions (premiums, aid, allowances)

represent a fundamental share of farmers’ income, reaching an average of 13%.

PLV of companies and 32% of their net income (see FADN 2018), an incidence which is particularly

relevant in some sectors.

The importance of the contributions is such that it becomes essential for farmers to have access to one

reasonable certainty about the amounts that will be disbursed and the timing of disbursement. Contributions arise

mainly from the first pillar of the CAP, but, for companies in less favored areas, they are a lot

those disbursed through the second pillar (PSR) are also significant.

A picture is provided by an analysis carried out for the Autonomous Provinces of Trento and Bolzano in the area

of the evaluation of the respective PSRs. The Agricultural Accounting Network – RICA makes the data available

disaggregated for both territories. These areas can be considered, with good approximation,

as representative of the disadvantaged areas present throughout the national territory. The analyzes have

highlighted as in these territories, for dairy cattle companies, typically present in the most areas

difficult and impervious, the impact of public aid on the PLV reaches 23% for Trento and 21% for Bolzano

and that on Net Income reaches 44% and 55% respectively. In both cases the contributions obtained

through the PSR are higher than those obtained through the first pillar. This data shows so

objectively what importance the contributions of agricultural policy have for agricultural companies and how, a

their slowdown, or worse, temporary interruption, as has sometimes happened in the past in the transition from

one program to another could compromise its survival.

The extension of the measures and instruments in force, with their refinancing, would offer companies

agricultural workers those economic guarantees indispensable for the continuation of their activity would be significantly reduced

the risks of abandonment of marginal areas would be significant and would allow easier access (e.g

administratively less onerous) to contributions for investments, without forgetting that all of this

It would help ensure a constant supply of products in this time of uncertainty

agricultural products for large-scale distribution and/or for the agro-industry and, ultimately, for the entire community.

Starting a new programming period in a situation of economic crisis could, however,

lead to delays and slowdowns such as to induce many agricultural companies, especially those operating in

disadvantaged areas, to abandon their activity.

Among other things, at least as regards the funds allocated to agriculture, the extension seems to be inevitable

also due to the serious delay accumulated in the approval of the new Regulations, so much so that the Court itself

of the Accounts of Luxembourg, even before the Covid emergency, considered it unlikely that the new ones would start

programs could take place with just one year’s delay, i.e. in 2022.

If, as seems possible, the Covid emergency will bring about positive changes in our habits, for example

example through the strengthening of smart working which is finding good appreciation in

this period of forced application, improving changes could be identified and maintained

also in consolidated community operating practices.

As regards the EAFRD, it would be desirable to overcome, not only in the emergency phase, the

logic of seven-year programs. In fact, these are interventions that are stable over time with continuity

of action that has lasted for at least 20 years, with adjustments due more to a greater finalization of the

strategy with respect to specific objectives, especially, but not only, environmental ones, and to other factors. The passage

between two successive programs has always led to discontinuities which, in addition to creating discontent

and risks of disparity in treatment between companies, leave farmers in uncertainty regarding premiums

(indeed, even worse, they risk creating gaps) with the risk of premature abandonment of the activity,

especially in disadvantaged areas. Not to mention the administrative efforts to create the new ones

plans and for the adaptation of measures to the new rules.

It could therefore be useful to reconsider the entire system by providing a more basic reference framework

stable within which the main aid provided for by the RDPs can find space: the prizes

agri-environmental, compensatory allowances, organic, but also aid to young farmers and

investments by agricultural companies and agro-industry. This framework could be subjected to

periodic checks and evaluations, even partial and/or sectoral, on the basis of which to intervene

modify, in a more agile and punctual way (and only when necessary) the planned interventions and methods

selection, adapting them to the new needs of the sector.

At this moment, as already highlighted, EU action in this way appears most appropriate

direction: starting a new programming period in a situation of economic crisis could

cause difficulties such as to induce many agricultural companies, especially those operating in areas

disadvantaged, to abandon their business.

Maintaining, at least for a certain period, the current tools (refinancing them) can offer companies

that continuity in the disbursement of premiums which guarantees the liquidity essential to alleviate the current ones

economic and financial uncertainties and ensures a greater propensity towards investments that are

will make it necessary.